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Experimental research tool. Not medical, career, or professional advice. No warranty. See methodology.

The match, modeled with real data

Stop guessing your residency match. Run the numbers.

MatchStudy gives you per-program match probabilities calibrated against real NRMP outcomes — so your rank list is a strategy, not a hope. Built for medical students, residents applying to fellowships, IMGs, and transfer applicants.

Free for any student or trainee with an institutional email (.edu, .ac.uk, .ac.nz, .edu.au, .ac.in).

7,073
residency programs (FREIDA + NRMP)
19
fellowship cohorts modeled
12 yr
match-rate history per program
~5 pp
calibration error vs real NRMP outcomes

What MatchStudy gives you

Six tools that turn the residency match from a black box into a calibrated decision problem. Every feature is grounded in published NRMP / FREIDA data — no synthetic vibes.

Where do I stand?

Calibrated match probabilities for every specialty, given your real Step scores, AOA, research, and pool (MD/DO/IMG senior or grad).

See your numbers →
Build a rank list that actually works

Simulator runs Gale-Shapley over the calibrated cohort. See P(land at #k), gold/silver signal allocation, couples-match planning.

Open the simulator →
Find programs like this one

Within-specialty cosine similarity over standardized FREIDA features (salary, hours, visa, demographics, hospital quality).

Find similar programs →
Per-specialty real data

NRMP Charting Outcomes match-rate trends, signaling strategy, applicant feature averages — for all 30+ residency specialties and 19 NRMP fellowships.

Browse specialties →
Specialty fit quiz

Cosine-similarity quiz mapping your preferences (lifestyle, intellectual style, patient interaction) to specialties.

Take the quiz →
ERAS prep + match cycle tracker

16-section profile builder, CV templates, personal-statement versioning, interview tracker, application budget, SOAP planner.

Set up your profile →

Built on published data — not a black box

The cohort equilibrium is calibrated against NRMP Charting Outcomes (MD, DO, IMG seniors), Match Results 2022–2026, Couples Match 1987–2024, and the FREIDA program directory. Per-pool simulated rates come within ~5 percentage points of the real NRMP targets per the validation scorecard.

Read the methodology →See the validation scorecard →The math framework →

Ready to run your numbers?

Free for any student or trainee. Set up your profile in 5 minutes, get calibrated match probabilities in real time.